earnings
We tested earnings beat streaks across 16 exchanges covering 102,577 streak events. 12 of 16 exchanges show positive T+21 CAR. India leads at +2.10% T+21 but with recent data caveat. Thailand shows negative drift. The immediate T+1 reaction is positive on every exchange tested.
earnings
Canadian beat streaks produce twice the abnormal return of US stocks. 5,684 events on the TSX from 2000-2025. T+21 CAR of +1.22% vs +0.55% for US. The drift keeps building to +1.76% at T+63.
value investing
Sweden produced 14.57% CAGR from the DCF discount strategy vs 2.40% for the OMX Stockholm 30 (price-only). The +12.17% headline excess narrows to roughly +9 points after dividend adjustment, still the strongest local-benchmark result in our global comparison.
value-investing
India's DCF Discount strategy returned 10.86% CAGR on NSE, trailing the Sensex at 11.49%. That is -0.63% annual excess. The drawdown was -58% vs the Sensex's -38%. The strategy lags the local market on every risk-adjusted metric.
value investing
DCF discount screening on the Korea Stock Exchange returned 5.65% CAGR over 25 years, ahead of the KOSPI by +1.21% annually. Adjusting for the KOSPI's missing dividend yield (~2%), the realistic edge is closer to neutral. 48% win rate, -44.79% max drawdown.
backtests
We screened every German stock on XETRA for discount to intrinsic value using a Gordon Growth Model and backtested from 2000 to 2025. The strategy returned 12.40% CAGR vs 4.51% for the DAX (price index), +7.89% local excess (~+5pp after dividend adjustment).
value-investing
Canada's TSX delivered 11.45% CAGR with zero cash periods over 25 years. The portfolio captured 149.12% of upside and only 36.79% of downside vs the TSX Composite. Max drawdown stayed at -33.59%. 68% annual win rate.
value investing
Same DCF screen across 14 global exchanges with local benchmarks. Sweden led on every metric (+12.17% vs OMXS30, Sharpe 0.579). Germany +7.89% vs DAX, Canada +7.40% vs TSX. India trailed its Sensex. Universe construction matters as much as the signal.
event-study
20,059 earnings events across Shenzhen and Shanghai (2000-2025). Beats drift +1.75% vs SSE Composite at T+63 (t=+8.04). Misses drift +0.70% (t=+4.42, also significant). Both sides positive. Q5-Q1 spread: +2.14pp. Next-day close entry.
event-study
16,406 earnings events on Taiwan exchanges TAI+TWO (2000-2025). Misses drift -1.68% vs TAIEX at T+63 (t=-9.72). Q1 worst misses drop -3.13%. Q5-Q1 spread: +4.55pp, highest globally. Beats: +0.85% (t=+4.07). Next-day close entry.
value investing
We previously published a DCF discount backtest for Australian stocks reporting 6.08% CAGR. The result was partly an artifact of broken split-adjusted prices in our upstream FMP data (314 ASX symbols affected). We retract the original number and explain why.
value investing
We previously published a DCF discount backtest for Brazilian stocks reporting 18.05% CAGR. The headline was substantially inflated by broken split-adjusted prices in our upstream FMP data. We retract the original number and explain why.